Why Some People Almost Always Make Money in the Markets
 
How the Smart Money Flow Index called the October top:
 
In the beginning of October we got again a clear sell signal from our Smart Money Flow Index. The Dow Jones made a new high in October, but the SMFI was clearly lagging behind (red and blue arrows), predicting a correction ahead because "Smart Money" was distributing heavily into the rally (Smart Money Flow Index explained). Please read our weekly comment for our members below:
 

(October 7th) The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit an intraday record of 14125 before ending the week up 170, or 1,2%, at 14066 and short sellers scrambled for cover. The Standard & Poor's 500 rose 31 points, or 2%, to reach a record 1558. The bulls took out the intra-day high of 1552,87, set on March 24, 2000 and there must have been also an incredible amount of stop-loss orders around this level. We would like to mention that NYSE members have been long, and most of the short covering was therefore done by public investors and odd-lotters (dumb money). Billions worth of stocks are now in weak hands and all these small guys are now probably waiting desperately for someone who will buy their expensive shares. Since the NYSE Member Report is published by the SEC two weeks after the applicable date, we have to wait two more weeks in order to see how much short covering was done. Our Smart Money Flow Index is now outright bearish after the Dow reached a new high and the SMFI didn't. It is of course possible that the short squeeze will last for a while but we believe that the market is due for a correction very soon. The number of new lows indicates also that the rally is technically not in a very good shape. We might even hear the first growl of the bear already this week when the X-week crash cycle is due (week of October 12th).

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How the Smart Money Flow Index predicted the August correction:
 
(August 2007) In the beginning of June we got a very clear sell signal from our Smart Money Flow Index. The Dow Jones made a new high in May and August while the SMFI was clearly lagging behind (red and blue arrows), predicting a correction ahead because of a negative divergence of these two market gauges. The reason: Smart Money was distributing into every rally (Smart Money Flow Index explained). In the middle of August, Smart Money was selling heavily into the short covering rally and an eye-popping negative divergence indicated a sell-off ahead.

When will you join the "Smart Money"? Get a daily update of this magnificent indicator for the ridiculous rate of only 35 cents a day (based on a 6-month subscription), plus all the other proven indicators of the Wall Street pros!
 

Smart Money Flow Index explained

The Smart Money Flow Index has long been one of the best kept secrets of Wall Street. Everybody knows the importance of a closing price and other last hour indicators like the Closing Tick, which we publish daily for free on our portal. The Smart Money Flow Index is therefore calculated by taking the action of the Dow in two time periods: the first 30 minutes and the close. Whenever the Dow makes a high which is not confirmed by the SMFI there is trouble ahead (Chart). The first 30 minutes represent emotional buying, driven by greed and fear of the crowd based on good and bad news There is also a lot of buying on market orders and short covering at the opening. Smart money waits until the end and they very often test the market before by shorting heavily just to see how the market reacts. Then they move in the big way. These heavy hitters also have the best possible information available to them and they do have the edge on all the other market participants. (More about the Smart Money Flow Index)

What you should know about some closely guarded secrets of the pros !
 
Do you ask yourself sometimes why some people almost always make money in the markets? The answer is quite simple and you can easily discover the little-known secrets of the pros to join the winners. The most intelligent way to approach the markets is to watch what the so called "smart money" and the so called "dumb money" is doing. The dumb money, or the so called "crowd", is getting consistently beaten by the more street smart and very shrewd, professional and experienced traders. Stop trading against the pros and begin getting rich by focusing on "smart money" and "dumb money"  instead. NYSE specialists, floor traders and other NYSE members like all the well known Wall Street names and brokerages are the smart money while all others are the crowd. All these indicators can be found on our pages and they are updated weekly, respectively daily, in our member section.
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The problem of the Internet is that you have as many gurus as financial web sites and you don't know whom you should believe. We are of course as bullish at market tops and as bearish at bottoms as everybody else, but we stick to our indicators. And anybody who has the slightest idea about technical analysis will agree that our indicators do indeed make sense.
 
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