Identifying Stock Market Regimes & Shifts

Our goal is to improve your trading and investment returns by helping you to make better investment decisions. We believe that a comprehensible research approach will deliver more predictable results. Additionally, it allows you to easily understand the decision-making framework behind each service.

What we do

Our research is helping subscribers to identify the current market regime & major shifts in a timely manner, capitalize on sustained regime-based trends and to provide an actionable outlook. It also supports subscribers to minimize the risk of unfavorable entry- or exit points while maximizing return opportunities.

What we offer

We provide our subscribers with a detailed market regime analysis for the S&P 500 plus advanced indicators covering 45 major futures market to quickly identify low risk and high rewarding regimes. For lazy investors we also provide ETF Model portfolios designed to achieve stable returns across all market regimes.

Whom we serve

Whether you’re a novice trader or a pro, we bring you research you need to succeed in the markets. As the S&P 500 sets the direction for single stocks & other risky markets, our regime-based research is also highly recommended to non-U.S. focused investors, able to identify trade opportunities and risk factors in financial markets.

Nobody Rings a Bell at Major Regime Shifts – We do!

Market Regime Indicators

Over 50 well-tested and well-selected market regime indicators to identify strong trends and major inflection points before others do.

Why are some traders more successful than others? There are probably as many answers as there are traders out there. You will undoubtedly agree that most of the money is being made in a trend, especially as far as options and futures are concerned. In options trading your biggest enemy by far is time. You need to have the patience and discipline.

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Big Picture Indicator

The Big Picture Indicator identifies the current regime of the S&P 500 by condensing all the signals of our published indicators

“Buying the Dips” is probably one of the most profitable trading strategies during upward trending markets. However, doubling down on a falling stock – even on high quality ones – could wipe out years of gains within a few weeks. Nothing about a company might have changed, except the top-down market regime for risky assets.

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ETF Model Portfolios

Designed to achieve maximum diversification across all market regimes beyond traditional approaches!

The negative relationship between stocks and bonds is often a fundamental building block of a “so-called” diversified portfolio. The problem is that this assumption is based on market regimes with declining interest rates. In market regimes with rising interest rates, the diversification benefit of bonds is literally collapsing.

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The WSC Market Regime Outlook for the S&P 500

Our WSC Market Regime Outlook for the S&P 500 evaluates the sustainability of the current market regime & red-flags potential shifts. It is helping investors to capitalize on sustained market regimes and to avoid buying stocks and other risky assets (such as futures, options, junk bonds, …) during unfavorable market conditions.

LATEST MARKET REGIME OUTLOOK

Is the trend quality still too low to bet on a sustainable recovery?

As the S&P 500 strongly bounced for the week, the short-term-oriented price trend of the market turned slightly neutral from a purely price point of view. Despite the weekly performance, this short-term-oriented trend condition still looks quite fragile for the moment. The S&P 500 closed only a few points above the bearish envelope line of the Trend Trader Index, plus both envelope lines are still decreasing on a quite fast pace. Also, the momentum of this price driven uptrend remains outright weak (since the Modified MACD and the Advance-/Decline 20 Day Momentum Indicator  have not managed to turn bullish yet). Especially on Friday, when the broad index jumped for more than 3%, the Advance-/Decline 20 Day Momentum Indicator did not show any reaction at all. Consequently, both indicators are far away from confirming the latest price action of the S&P 500 and have rather formed a negative divergence. So, from a purely short-term trend point of view, the latest gains can still be classified as 

CHARTS YOU SHOULD NOT MISS OUT

Examples of identified market regimes and why avoiding losses matters!

Uncover Shifts in Major Futures Markets!

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) provides inside information about purchases and sales of futures contracts. The largest players in each market are required to disclose their positions to the CFTC daily, and the resulting Commitment of Traders (CoT) Report is released on a weekly basis. This report delivers useful insights to identify establishing trends or major inflection points.

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The Smart Money Flow Index

WallStreetCourier.com is the official source for the Smart Money Flow Index (SMFI) for Bloomberg Professional. The Smart Money Flow Index (SMFI) has long been one of the best kept secrets of Wall Street.

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